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Consumer Staples · CIK 0000726958

CASY Casey's

Strong positive

Casey's's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.71
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.76 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 11 of 13 comparable quarters.

11 / 13 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.707 (p=0.003)
Pearson r0.764 (p=9.03e-4)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.41, 0.92]
FDR q0.019
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement11 / 13 (11 / 13)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Weak positive
Spearman
0.39
Pearson
0.21
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Strong negative
Spearman
-0.80
Pearson
-0.73
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Mar 9, 202610-Q+0.190+49.3%+0.3%
Dec 9, 202510-Q+0.186+14.0%+14.2%
Sep 8, 202510-Q+0.137+19.5%+11.5%
Mar 11, 202510-Q+0.115+0.2%+17.3%
Dec 9, 202410-Q+0.089+13.9%-2.9%
Sep 4, 202410-Q+0.093+6.5%+5.9%
Mar 11, 202410-Q+0.040-13.2%-0.1%
Dec 11, 202310-Q+0.074+15.4%+2.2%
Sep 11, 202310-Q+0.052+10.7%-13.1%
Mar 7, 202310-Q+0.160+56.4%+9.3%
Dec 6, 202210-Q+0.159+42.1%+21.9%
Sep 7, 202210-Q+0.092+28.3%+40.0%
Mar 8, 202210-Q+0.198+65.7%+51.8%
Dec 7, 202110-Q+0.090-13.5%+47.3%
Sep 8, 202110-Q+0.078-1.2%+51.2%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jun 22, 202610-K-0.069+30.7%+10.2%
Jun 23, 202510-K-0.054+8.9%+7.3%
Jun 24, 202410-K-0.037+12.4%-1.5%
Jun 23, 202310-K-0.060+31.5%+16.5%
Jun 24, 202210-K-0.007+8.6%+48.8%