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Consumer Staples · CIK 0000029534

DG Dollar General

Moderate positive

Dollar General's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.45
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.71 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 4 of 5 comparable quarters.

4 / 5 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.446 (p=0.095)
Pearson r0.712 (p=0.003)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.31, 0.90]
FDR q0.043
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement4 / 5 (4 / 5)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
-0.14
Pearson
-0.12
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Weak positive
Spearman
0.30
Pearson
0.70
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jun 2, 202610-Q+0.164+13.3%+3.4%
Dec 4, 202510-Q+0.206+43.8%+4.6%
Aug 28, 202510-Q+0.213+10.0%+5.1%
Jun 3, 202510-Q+0.155+7.9%+5.3%
Dec 5, 202410-Q+0.003-28.9%+5.0%
Aug 29, 202410-Q-0.044-20.2%+4.2%
May 30, 202410-Q-0.043-29.4%+6.1%
Dec 7, 202310-Q-0.014-47.5%+2.4%
Aug 31, 202310-Q-0.014-30.9%+3.9%
Jun 1, 202310-Q+0.024-6.9%+6.8%
Dec 1, 202210-Q-0.051+8.0%+11.1%
Aug 25, 202210-Q-0.026+6.4%+9.0%
May 26, 202210-Q-0.026-18.5%+4.2%
Dec 2, 202110-Q-0.024-15.2%+3.9%
Aug 26, 202110-Q-0.025-19.1%-0.4%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Mar 20, 202610-K+0.120+34.4%+5.2%
Mar 21, 202510-K+0.072-32.3%+5.0%
Mar 25, 202410-K+0.021-31.2%+2.2%
Mar 24, 202310-K+0.037+0.7%+10.6%
Mar 18, 202210-K+0.072-9.6%+1.4%