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Information Technology · CIK 0000006951

AMAT Applied Materials

Weak positive

Applied Materials's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.37
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): 0.26 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 7 of 8 comparable quarters.

7 / 8 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.371 (p=0.173)
Pearson r0.260 (p=0.349)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.29, 0.68]
FDR q0.605
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement7 / 8 (7 / 8)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
0.17
Pearson
0.11
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
0.10
Pearson
-0.08
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 20, 202610-Q+0.132+42.7%+24.8%
May 21, 202610-Q+0.121+31.3%+11.4%
Feb 19, 202610-Q+0.098+71.0%-2.1%
Aug 21, 202510-Q+0.128+4.3%+7.7%
May 22, 202510-Q+0.087+24.1%+6.8%
Feb 20, 202510-Q+0.066-41.3%+6.8%
Aug 22, 202410-Q+0.060+9.3%+5.5%
May 23, 202410-Q+0.060+9.3%+0.2%
Feb 27, 202410-Q+0.043+17.6%-0.5%
Aug 24, 202310-Q-0.015-2.9%-1.5%
May 26, 202310-Q-0.013+2.5%+6.2%
Feb 23, 202310-Q+0.017-4.2%+7.5%
Aug 25, 202210-Q-0.042-6.4%+5.2%
May 26, 202210-Q-0.037+15.5%+11.9%
Feb 24, 202210-Q-0.018+58.6%+21.5%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Dec 12, 202510-K-0.068-2.5%+4.4%
Dec 13, 202410-K-0.079+4.7%+2.5%
Dec 15, 202310-K-0.089+5.1%+2.8%
Dec 16, 202210-K-0.061+10.8%+11.8%
Dec 17, 202110-K-0.077+62.7%+34.1%