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Financials · CIK 0001858681

APO Apollo Global Management

Weak negative

Apollo Global Management showed a negative relationship between management tone and quarterly net income.

Relationship strength (, primary)
-0.22
Sample
12 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): -0.30 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 3 of 6 comparable quarters.

3 / 6 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)-0.217 (p=0.499)
Pearson r-0.296 (p=0.351)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.74, 0.34]
FDR q0.605
Sample size (n)12 · More established sample
Agreement3 / 6 (3 / 6)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Revenue comparison not used

Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.

Why?
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
-0.20
Pearson
-0.19
Sample
4 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 10, 202610-Q+0.087+116.0%n/a
May 7, 202610-Q+0.037-531.2%n/a
Nov 10, 202510-Q+0.035+114.1%n/a
Aug 7, 202510-Q+0.021-26.1%n/a
May 7, 202510-Q-0.028-69.0%n/a
Nov 6, 202410-Q+0.040+18.9%n/a
Aug 8, 202410-Q+0.071+42.4%n/a
May 7, 202410-Q+0.124+41.3%n/a
Nov 7, 202310-Q+0.029+177.9%n/a
Aug 7, 202310-Q+0.044n/an/a
May 9, 202310-Q+0.008n/an/a
Nov 8, 202210-Q+0.117-439.5%n/a
Aug 9, 202210-Q+0.108-411.7%n/a
May 10, 202210-Q+0.108-228.1%n/a

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 25, 202610-K-0.113-23.7%n/a
Feb 24, 202510-K+0.061-9.3%n/a
Feb 27, 202410-K-0.168+257.1%n/a
Mar 1, 202310-K-0.118-278.3%n/a