Berkshire Hathaway showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 5 of 9 comparable quarters.
5 / 9 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.100 (p=0.723) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.017 (p=0.952) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.52, 0.50] |
| FDR q | 0.967 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 5 / 9 (5 / 9) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.073 | +107.5% | n/a |
| May 4, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.009 | +119.6% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.070 | +17.3% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.063 | -59.2% | n/a |
| May 5, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.120 | -63.8% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.090 | +305.6% | n/a |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.147 | -15.5% | n/a |
| May 6, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.048 | -64.2% | n/a |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.115 | -375.0% | n/a |
| Aug 7, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.079 | +182.1% | n/a |
| May 8, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.068 | +550.3% | n/a |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.020 | -126.0% | n/a |
| Aug 8, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.011 | -255.7% | n/a |
| May 2, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.021 | -53.4% | n/a |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.048 | -65.7% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 10-K | -0.023 | -24.8% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 10-K | -0.059 | -7.5% | n/a |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 10-K | -0.013 | +521.7% | n/a |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 10-K | +0.125 | -125.4% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 10-K | -0.005 | +111.2% | n/a |