Citigroup's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in all 2 comparable quarters.
2 / 2 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.456 (p=0.117) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.353 (p=0.236) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.25, 0.76] |
| FDR q | 0.504 |
| Sample size (n) | 13 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 2 / 2 (2 / 2) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.123 | n/a | n/a |
| May 7, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.007 | n/a | n/a |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.284 | +15.9% | n/a |
| Aug 6, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.047 | +24.9% | n/a |
| May 8, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.015 | +20.6% | n/a |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.027 | -8.7% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.005 | +10.4% | n/a |
| May 3, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.021 | -26.8% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.018 | +1.9% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.022 | -35.9% | n/a |
| May 5, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.019 | +7.0% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.032 | -25.1% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.005 | -26.6% | n/a |
| May 9, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.075 | -45.8% | n/a |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.034 | +43.8% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | 10-K | +0.044 | +12.8% | n/a |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 10-K | +0.009 | +37.4% | n/a |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 10-K | -0.004 | -37.8% | n/a |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 10-K | -0.042 | -32.4% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 10-K | -0.005 | +98.7% | n/a |