Chubb Limited's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 4 of 5 comparable quarters.
4 / 5 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.253 (p=0.383) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.288 (p=0.317) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.29, 0.71] |
| FDR q | 0.578 |
| Sample size (n) | 14 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 4 / 5 (4 / 5) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.000 | n/a | n/a |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.009 | +74.3% | n/a |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.020 | +20.5% | n/a |
| Jul 28, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.056 | +33.1% | n/a |
| Apr 28, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.008 | -37.9% | n/a |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.046 | +13.8% | n/a |
| Jul 26, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.090 | +24.4% | n/a |
| Apr 26, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.063 | +13.3% | n/a |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.053 | +151.6% | n/a |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.034 | +47.6% | n/a |
| May 2, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.066 | -4.2% | n/a |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.031 | -55.7% | n/a |
| Jul 29, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.007 | -46.4% | n/a |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.024 | -14.2% | n/a |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.023 | +53.5% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 10-K | -0.026 | +11.2% | n/a |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 10-K | -0.047 | +2.7% | n/a |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 10-K | -0.017 | +69.9% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 10-K | +0.004 | -37.8% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 10-K | -0.033 | +141.7% | n/a |