Corpay showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 6 of 8 comparable quarters.
6 / 8 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.164 (p=0.558) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.147 (p=0.601) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.61, 0.40] |
| FDR q | 0.770 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 6 / 8 (6 / 8) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.142 | -12.6% | n/a |
| May 8, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.068 | +43.9% | n/a |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.076 | +0.6% | n/a |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.053 | +12.9% | n/a |
| May 12, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.004 | +5.9% | n/a |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.064 | +1.8% | n/a |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.042 | +5.0% | n/a |
| May 9, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.061 | +7.0% | n/a |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.057 | +9.1% | n/a |
| Aug 9, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.056 | -8.6% | n/a |
| May 10, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.035 | -1.4% | n/a |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.009 | +6.4% | n/a |
| Aug 9, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.025 | +33.6% | n/a |
| May 9, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.035 | +18.3% | n/a |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.138 | +23.9% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 10-K | +0.031 | +6.6% | n/a |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 10-K | +0.026 | +2.2% | n/a |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 10-K | +0.063 | +2.9% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 10-K | +0.032 | +13.7% | n/a |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 10-K | +0.063 | +19.2% | n/a |