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Industrials · CIK 0000746515

EXPD Expeditors International

Strong positive

Expeditors International's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.76
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.86 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 5 of 8 comparable quarters.

5 / 8 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.761 (p=9.91e-4)
Pearson r0.865 (p=3.15e-5)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.63, 0.95]
FDR q0.002
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement5 / 8 (5 / 8)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Moderate positive
Spearman
0.68
Pearson
0.83
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Moderate negative
Spearman
-0.50
Pearson
-0.33
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 5, 202610-Q-0.025+45.0%+32.1%
May 6, 202610-Q-0.033+12.7%+4.4%
Nov 6, 202510-Q-0.022-3.2%-3.5%
Aug 7, 202510-Q+0.017+4.6%+8.7%
May 8, 202510-Q+0.023+20.5%+20.8%
Nov 5, 202410-Q-0.007+34.0%+37.0%
Aug 8, 202410-Q-0.096-10.8%+8.9%
May 9, 202410-Q-0.149-25.2%-14.9%
Nov 8, 202310-Q-0.231-58.6%-49.8%
Aug 8, 202310-Q-0.262-47.9%-51.3%
May 4, 202310-Q-0.201-34.7%-44.4%
Nov 8, 202210-Q-0.065+15.4%+1.0%
Aug 4, 202210-Q-0.062+19.4%+27.5%
May 9, 202210-Q-0.071+20.5%+38.9%
Nov 4, 202110-Q+0.048+87.7%+75.2%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 25, 202610-K-0.017+0.0%+4.4%
Feb 21, 202510-K-0.046+7.6%+14.0%
Feb 23, 202410-K-0.003-44.5%-45.5%
Mar 1, 202310-K-0.039-4.1%+3.3%
Mar 15, 202210-K-0.028+103.3%+63.3%