Extra Space Storage showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 8 of 14 comparable quarters.
8 / 14 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.043 (p=0.879) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.121 (p=0.668) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.42, 0.60] |
| FDR q | 0.800 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 8 / 14 (8 / 14) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.071 | +5.5% | n/a |
| May 1, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.083 | -11.0% | n/a |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.075 | -14.1% | n/a |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.068 | +34.4% | n/a |
| May 2, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.096 | +27.1% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.079 | +2.6% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.083 | -8.2% | n/a |
| May 3, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.086 | +8.6% | n/a |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.090 | -14.7% | n/a |
| Aug 9, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.092 | -12.8% | n/a |
| May 4, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.094 | -3.6% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.093 | +17.2% | n/a |
| Aug 5, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.128 | +38.2% | n/a |
| May 6, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.105 | +0.3% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.079 | +64.2% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | 10-K | +0.020 | +14.0% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 10-K | +0.053 | +6.4% | n/a |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 10-K | +0.040 | -6.7% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 10-K | +0.082 | +4.0% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 10-K | +0.066 | +71.8% | n/a |