FactSet showed a negative relationship between management tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 3 of 7 comparable quarters.
3 / 7 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.396 (p=0.143) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.421 (p=0.118) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.77, 0.12] |
| FDR q | 0.343 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 3 / 7 (3 / 7) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.154 | -14.7% | n/a |
| Apr 2, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.184 | -8.1% | n/a |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.186 | +1.7% | n/a |
| Jul 3, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.215 | -6.1% | n/a |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.005 | +2.8% | n/a |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.002 | +1.0% | n/a |
| Jul 3, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.004 | +17.4% | n/a |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.005 | +7.1% | n/a |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.003 | +8.6% | n/a |
| Jul 3, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.017 | +79.8% | n/a |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.016 | +19.7% | n/a |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.023 | +27.1% | n/a |
| Jul 1, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.067 | -25.6% | n/a |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.117 | +13.8% | n/a |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.119 | +6.4% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 10-K | -0.046 | +11.2% | n/a |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 10-K | +0.141 | +14.7% | n/a |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 10-K | +0.050 | +18.0% | n/a |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 10-K | +0.043 | -0.7% | n/a |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 10-K | +0.109 | +7.1% | n/a |