Global Payments showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 3 of 5 comparable quarters.
3 / 5 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.154 (p=0.585) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.076 (p=0.787) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.45, 0.57] |
| FDR q | 0.880 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 3 / 5 (3 / 5) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.077 | -94.6% | n/a |
| May 8, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.033 | -688.7% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.021 | +101.6% | n/a |
| Aug 6, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.049 | -35.5% | n/a |
| May 6, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.039 | -2.4% | n/a |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.065 | -12.9% | n/a |
| Aug 7, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.018 | +36.7% | n/a |
| May 1, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.020 | +2937.7% | n/a |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.012 | +24.6% | n/a |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.021 | +140.7% | n/a |
| May 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.008 | -104.5% | n/a |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.109 | -2.1% | n/a |
| Aug 1, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.066 | -355.3% | n/a |
| May 2, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.014 | +24.4% | n/a |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.158 | +34.3% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | 10-K | +0.005 | -10.8% | n/a |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 10-K | +0.039 | +59.2% | n/a |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 10-K | +0.030 | +784.6% | n/a |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 10-K | +0.023 | -88.5% | n/a |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 10-K | +0.110 | +65.2% | n/a |