Goldman Sachs's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in all 3 comparable quarters.
3 / 3 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.704 (p=0.003) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.602 (p=0.018) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [0.13, 0.85] |
| FDR q | 0.117 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 3 / 3 (3 / 3) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.074 | +78.0% | n/a |
| May 1, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.055 | +18.8% | n/a |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.040 | +37.1% | n/a |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.018 | +22.3% | n/a |
| May 2, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.004 | +14.7% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.014 | +45.3% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.022 | +150.2% | n/a |
| May 3, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.002 | +27.8% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.002 | -32.9% | n/a |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.019 | -58.5% | n/a |
| May 4, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.000 | -17.9% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.034 | -42.9% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.011 | -46.6% | n/a |
| May 2, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.010 | -42.4% | n/a |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.050 | +59.7% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 10-K | +0.047 | +20.3% | n/a |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 10-K | +0.052 | +67.6% | n/a |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 10-K | +0.007 | -24.4% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 10-K | +0.028 | -48.0% | n/a |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 10-K | -0.026 | +128.7% | n/a |