Hartford (The)'s management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 1 of 2 comparable quarters.
1 / 2 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.250 (p=0.369) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.550 (p=0.034) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [0.05, 0.83] |
| FDR q | 0.177 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 1 / 2 (1 / 2) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.042 | +30.5% | n/a |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.036 | +35.9% | n/a |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.041 | +40.8% | n/a |
| Jul 28, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.037 | +34.8% | n/a |
| Apr 24, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.045 | -16.3% | n/a |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.003 | +17.8% | n/a |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.024 | +34.9% | n/a |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.043 | +40.7% | n/a |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.006 | +92.0% | n/a |
| Jul 27, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.020 | +23.8% | n/a |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.040 | +20.2% | n/a |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.040 | -29.7% | n/a |
| Jul 28, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.097 | -51.2% | n/a |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.052 | +78.7% | n/a |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.044 | +5.0% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | 10-K | -0.072 | +23.3% | n/a |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 10-K | -0.059 | +24.2% | n/a |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 10-K | -0.096 | +38.0% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 10-K | -0.038 | -23.3% | n/a |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 10-K | -0.072 | +36.2% | n/a |