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Industrials · CIK 0000936468

LMT Lockheed Martin

Weak positive

Lockheed Martin's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.27
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): 0.13 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 5 of 9 comparable quarters.

5 / 9 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.271 (p=0.328)
Pearson r0.130 (p=0.644)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.41, 0.60]
FDR q0.787
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement5 / 9 (5 / 9)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Moderate positive
Spearman
0.67
Pearson
0.68
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
0.20
Pearson
-0.23
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jul 23, 202610-Q+0.055+436.8%+10.5%
Apr 23, 202610-Q-0.083-13.1%+0.3%
Oct 21, 202510-Q+0.042-0.2%+8.8%
Jul 22, 202510-Q-0.006-79.2%+0.2%
Apr 22, 202510-Q+0.031+10.8%+4.5%
Oct 22, 202410-Q+0.026-3.6%+1.3%
Jul 23, 202410-Q+0.133-2.4%+8.6%
Apr 23, 202410-Q+0.080-8.5%+13.7%
Oct 17, 202310-Q-0.005-5.3%+1.8%
Jul 19, 202310-Q+0.029+444.0%+8.1%
Apr 18, 202310-Q-0.054-2.5%+1.1%
Oct 18, 202210-Q-0.121+189.6%+3.5%
Jul 19, 202210-Q-0.148-83.0%-9.3%
Apr 20, 202210-Q-0.065-5.7%-8.0%
Oct 26, 202110-Q+0.068-63.8%-2.8%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jan 29, 202610-K+0.045-6.0%+5.6%
Jan 28, 202510-K+0.039-22.9%+5.1%
Jan 23, 202410-K+0.002+20.7%+2.4%
Jan 26, 202310-K-0.049-9.2%-1.6%
Jan 25, 202210-K+0.045-7.6%+2.5%