Moody's Corporation's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in all 13 comparable quarters.
13 / 13 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.911 (p=2.40e-6) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.924 (p=8.52e-7) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [0.78, 0.97] |
| FDR q | 1.28e-4 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 13 / 13 (13 / 13) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.284 | +51.9% | n/a |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.170 | +5.8% | n/a |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.238 | +21.0% | n/a |
| Jul 24, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.166 | +4.7% | n/a |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.124 | +8.3% | n/a |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.232 | +37.3% | n/a |
| Jul 24, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.279 | +46.4% | n/a |
| May 2, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.186 | +15.2% | n/a |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.177 | +28.4% | n/a |
| Jul 26, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.088 | +15.3% | n/a |
| Apr 26, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.021 | +0.6% | n/a |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.128 | -36.1% | n/a |
| Jul 27, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.094 | -43.3% | n/a |
| May 2, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.024 | -32.3% | n/a |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.115 | +1.5% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | 10-K | -0.087 | +19.5% | n/a |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 10-K | -0.116 | +28.1% | n/a |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 10-K | -0.092 | +17.0% | n/a |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 10-K | -0.154 | -37.9% | n/a |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 10-K | -0.127 | +24.5% | n/a |