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Financials · CIK 0000062709

MRSH Marsh McLennan

Weak positive

Marsh McLennan's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.29
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): 0.45 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 12 of 14 comparable quarters.

12 / 14 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.289 (p=0.296)
Pearson r0.445 (p=0.096)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.09, 0.78]
FDR q0.313
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement12 / 14 (12 / 14)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Revenue comparison not used

Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.

Why?
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Strong positive
Spearman
0.90
Pearson
0.93
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jul 21, 202610-Q+0.208+4.5%n/a
Apr 16, 202610-Q+0.129-17.0%n/a
Oct 16, 202510-Q+0.2470.0%n/a
Jul 17, 202510-Q+0.189+7.6%n/a
Apr 17, 202510-Q+0.153-1.4%n/a
Oct 17, 202410-Q+0.255+2.3%n/a
Jul 18, 202410-Q+0.205+8.7%n/a
Apr 18, 202410-Q+0.166+13.4%n/a
Oct 19, 202310-Q+0.248+33.7%n/a
Jul 20, 202310-Q+0.241+7.0%n/a
Apr 20, 202310-Q+0.132+15.3%n/a
Oct 20, 202210-Q+0.219+1.7%n/a
Jul 21, 202210-Q+0.242+17.9%n/a
Apr 21, 202210-Q+0.130+9.0%n/a
Oct 21, 202110-Q+0.260+69.9%n/a

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 9, 202610-K+0.089+2.5%n/a
Feb 10, 202510-K+0.085+8.1%n/a
Feb 12, 202410-K+0.131+23.1%n/a
Feb 13, 202310-K+0.065-3.0%n/a
Feb 16, 202210-K+0.147+55.9%n/a