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Financials · CIK 0000895421

MS Morgan Stanley

Strong positive

Morgan Stanley's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.91
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.89 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 9 of 10 comparable quarters.

9 / 10 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.907 (p=3.06e-6)
Pearson r0.890 (p=9.03e-6)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.69, 0.96]
FDR q6.80e-4
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement9 / 10 (9 / 10)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Revenue comparison not used

Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.

Why?
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Strong positive
Spearman
0.90
Pearson
0.92
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 4, 202610-Q+0.115+57.7%n/a
May 5, 202610-Q+0.072+29.0%n/a
Nov 3, 202510-Q+0.103+44.6%n/a
Aug 4, 202510-Q+0.057+15.1%n/a
May 5, 202510-Q+0.053+26.5%n/a
Nov 4, 202410-Q+0.132+32.4%n/a
Aug 5, 202410-Q+0.082+41.0%n/a
May 3, 202410-Q+0.065+14.5%n/a
Nov 3, 202310-Q+0.061-8.5%n/a
Aug 3, 202310-Q-0.021-12.5%n/a
May 2, 202310-Q-0.003-18.7%n/a
Nov 3, 202210-Q-0.044-29.0%n/a
Aug 5, 202210-Q-0.027-28.9%n/a
May 4, 202210-Q+0.048-11.0%n/a
Nov 3, 202110-Q+0.119+36.4%n/a

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 19, 202610-K+0.021+25.9%n/a
Feb 21, 202510-K+0.038+47.4%n/a
Feb 22, 202410-K-0.014-17.6%n/a
Feb 24, 202310-K-0.027-26.6%n/a
Feb 24, 202210-K+0.066+36.7%n/a