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Materials · CIK 0001164727

NEM Newmont

Weak positive

Newmont's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.23
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): -0.19 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 5 of 6 comparable quarters.

5 / 6 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.225 (p=0.420)
Pearson r-0.189 (p=0.499)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.64, 0.36]
FDR q0.701
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement5 / 6 (5 / 6)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Weak positive
Spearman
0.24
Pearson
0.12
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
0.10
Pearson
0.09
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jul 23, 202610-Q+0.058+6.8%+15.1%
Apr 23, 202610-Q+0.004+72.5%+45.8%
Oct 23, 202510-Q+0.005+98.7%+20.0%
Jul 24, 202510-Q+0.050+141.6%+20.8%
Apr 24, 202510-Q+0.024+1012.4%+24.5%
Oct 24, 202410-Q-0.006+483.5%+84.7%
Jul 25, 202410-Q-0.003+450.3%+64.1%
Apr 29, 202410-Q-0.060-51.6%+50.2%
Oct 26, 202310-Q+0.041-25.8%-5.4%
Jul 20, 202310-Q-0.032-59.9%-12.3%
Apr 27, 202310-Q-0.020-21.7%-11.4%
Nov 1, 202210-Q-0.065+7000.0%-9.0%
Jul 25, 202210-Q+0.026-40.5%-0.2%
Apr 22, 202210-Q-0.059-19.9%+5.3%
Oct 28, 202110-Q-0.065-99.6%-8.7%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 19, 202610-K+0.008+111.6%+21.3%
Feb 21, 202510-K-0.023+234.2%+58.2%
Feb 29, 202410-K-0.024-481.4%-0.9%
Feb 23, 202310-K+0.009-136.8%-2.5%
Feb 24, 202210-K-0.061-58.8%+6.3%