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Nvidia's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in all 13 comparable quarters.
13 / 13 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.636 (p=0.011) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.402 (p=0.137) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.14, 0.76] |
| FDR q | 0.387 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 13 / 13 (13 / 13) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.110 | +210.6% | +85.2% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.100 | +65.3% | +62.5% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.124 | +59.2% | +55.6% |
| May 28, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.115 | +26.2% | +69.2% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.157 | +108.9% | +93.6% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.215 | +168.2% | +122.4% |
| May 29, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.138 | +628.4% | +262.1% |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.131 | +1259.3% | +205.5% |
| Aug 28, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.095 | +843.3% | +101.5% |
| May 26, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.048 | +26.3% | -13.2% |
| Nov 18, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.175 | -72.4% | -16.5% |
| Aug 31, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.172 | -72.4% | +3.0% |
| May 27, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.015 | -15.4% | +46.4% |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.118 | +84.4% | +50.3% |
| Aug 20, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.150 | +281.7% | +68.3% |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 10-K | +0.087 | +64.7% | +65.5% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 10-K | +0.086 | +144.9% | +114.2% |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 10-K | +0.103 | +581.3% | +125.9% |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 10-K | -0.055 | -55.2% | +0.2% |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 10-K | +0.066 | +125.1% | +61.4% |