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Industrials · CIK 0000878927

ODFL Old Dominion

Strong positive

Old Dominion's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.86
Sample
14 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.95 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 6 of 10 comparable quarters.

6 / 10 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.864 (p=6.85e-5)
Pearson r0.951 (p=1.72e-7)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.85, 0.98]
FDR q3.89e-5
Sample size (n)14 · More established sample
Agreement6 / 10 (6 / 10)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Strong positive
Spearman
0.91
Pearson
0.96
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Moderate positive
Spearman
0.60
Pearson
0.77
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 5, 202610-Q+0.186+30.5%+10.4%
May 6, 202610-Q+0.102-6.4%-2.9%
Nov 6, 202510-Q+0.039-12.2%-4.3%
Aug 6, 202510-Q+0.070-16.6%-6.1%
May 6, 202510-Q+0.088-12.9%-5.8%
Nov 6, 202410-Q+0.061-9.1%-3.0%
Aug 5, 202410-Q+0.129+10.2%+6.1%
May 7, 202410-Q+0.116+2.5%+1.2%
Nov 6, 202310-Q+0.023-10.1%-5.5%
Aug 4, 202310-Q-0.010-22.3%-15.2%
May 8, 202310-Q+0.040-4.9%-3.7%
Nov 3, 202210-Q+0.186+31.7%+14.5%
Aug 3, 202210-Q+0.213+39.5%+26.4%
May 4, 202210-Q+0.248+50.4%+32.9%
Nov 3, 202110-Q+0.260n/a+32.3%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 24, 202610-K-0.095-13.7%-5.5%
Feb 25, 202510-K-0.101-4.3%-0.9%
Feb 26, 202410-K-0.122-10.0%-6.3%
Feb 22, 202310-K+0.001+33.1%+19.1%
Feb 23, 202210-K-0.051+53.8%+30.9%

Featured filing detail

Sentence-level tone highlights for case studies only.