Principal Financial Group showed a negative relationship between management tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 5 of 12 comparable quarters.
5 / 12 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.204 (p=0.483) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.320 (p=0.264) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.73, 0.25] |
| FDR q | 0.528 |
| Sample size (n) | 14 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 5 / 12 (5 / 12) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.154 | n/a | n/a |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.223 | +782.7% | n/a |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.280 | +197.2% | n/a |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.280 | +15.0% | n/a |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.282 | -91.0% | n/a |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.244 | -117.7% | n/a |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.211 | -9.2% | n/a |
| May 1, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.217 | +480.1% | n/a |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.104 | -10.1% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.114 | -87.3% | n/a |
| May 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.035 | -137.2% | n/a |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.201 | +285.0% | n/a |
| Aug 9, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.221 | +745.6% | n/a |
| May 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.027 | -27.2% | n/a |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.090 | +52.5% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | 10-K | +0.072 | -24.6% | n/a |
| Feb 19, 2025 | 10-K | +0.004 | +152.1% | n/a |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 10-K | +0.020 | -87.0% | n/a |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 10-K | -0.013 | +181.3% | n/a |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 10-K | -0.038 | +22.6% | n/a |