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Consumer Discretionary · CIK 0000822416

PHM PulteGroup

Moderate positive

PulteGroup's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved. This relationship remained statistically notable after the multiple-testing adjustment.

Relationship strength (, primary)
0.56
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check
Pearson (secondary): 0.71 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in all 12 comparable quarters.

12 / 12 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)0.564 (p=0.028)
Pearson r0.707 (p=0.003)
95% CI (Pearson)[0.30, 0.89]
FDR q0.045
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement12 / 12 (12 / 12)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Relationship
Moderate positive
Spearman
0.62
Pearson
0.79
Sample
15 quarterly observations
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Strong positive
Spearman
0.70
Pearson
0.74
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jul 22, 202610-Q-0.153-22.4%-9.6%
Apr 23, 202610-Q-0.119-33.6%-12.4%
Oct 21, 202510-Q-0.084-16.1%-1.6%
Jul 22, 202510-Q-0.073-24.8%-4.3%
Apr 22, 202510-Q-0.052-21.1%-1.4%
Oct 22, 202410-Q+0.145+9.3%+11.8%
Jul 23, 202410-Q+0.169+12.3%+9.8%
Apr 23, 202410-Q+0.172+24.6%+10.4%
Oct 24, 202310-Q+0.068+1.7%+1.5%
Jul 25, 202310-Q+0.080+10.4%+6.7%
Apr 25, 202310-Q+0.029+17.1%+12.2%
Oct 25, 202210-Q+0.020+32.0%+13.4%
Jul 26, 202210-Q+0.068+29.6%+16.9%
Apr 28, 202210-Q+0.048+49.5%+16.8%
Oct 26, 202110-Q+0.111+14.2%+17.7%

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Feb 4, 202610-K-0.080-28.0%-3.5%
Feb 6, 202510-K+0.106+18.5%+11.7%
Feb 5, 202410-K+0.006-0.6%-1.0%
Feb 6, 202310-K+0.007+34.5%+16.5%
Feb 7, 202210-K+0.069+38.3%+26.2%