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Financials · CIK 0000720005

RJF Raymond James Financial

Little or no relationship

Raymond James Financial showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.

Relationship strength (, primary)
-0.17
Sample
15 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): -0.24 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 0 of 1 comparable quarters.

0 / 1 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)-0.175 (p=0.533)
Pearson r-0.235 (p=0.398)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.67, 0.31]
FDR q0.652
Sample size (n)15 · More established sample
Agreement0 / 1 (0 / 1)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Revenue comparison not used

Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.

Why?
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Moderate positive
Spearman
0.60
Pearson
0.27
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Aug 5, 202610-Q+0.022+36.5%n/a
May 6, 202610-Q-0.021+9.9%n/a
Feb 6, 202610-Q+0.024-6.2%n/a
Aug 6, 202510-Q-0.002-11.4%n/a
May 7, 202510-Q+0.042+4.0%n/a
Feb 7, 202510-Q+0.034+20.5%n/a
Aug 6, 202410-Q+0.004+33.3%n/a
May 7, 202410-Q+0.017+11.5%n/a
Feb 7, 202410-Q+0.020-2.2%n/a
Aug 4, 202310-Q+0.008+22.6%n/a
May 8, 202310-Q-0.029+32.2%n/a
Feb 3, 202310-Q-0.004+14.1%n/a
Aug 8, 202210-Q+0.036-2.0%n/a
May 9, 202210-Q+0.056-9.0%n/a
Feb 8, 202210-Q+0.037+42.9%n/a

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Nov 25, 202510-K+0.001+3.2%n/a
Nov 26, 202410-K+0.052+18.9%n/a
Nov 21, 202310-K-0.012+15.2%n/a
Nov 22, 202210-K-0.023+7.6%n/a
Nov 23, 202110-K+0.013+71.5%n/a