Raymond James Financial showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 0 of 1 comparable quarters.
0 / 1 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.175 (p=0.533) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.235 (p=0.398) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.67, 0.31] |
| FDR q | 0.652 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 0 / 1 (0 / 1) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.022 | +36.5% | n/a |
| May 6, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.021 | +9.9% | n/a |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.024 | -6.2% | n/a |
| Aug 6, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.002 | -11.4% | n/a |
| May 7, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.042 | +4.0% | n/a |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.034 | +20.5% | n/a |
| Aug 6, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.004 | +33.3% | n/a |
| May 7, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.017 | +11.5% | n/a |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.020 | -2.2% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.008 | +22.6% | n/a |
| May 8, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.029 | +32.2% | n/a |
| Feb 3, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.004 | +14.1% | n/a |
| Aug 8, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.036 | -2.0% | n/a |
| May 9, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.056 | -9.0% | n/a |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.037 | +42.9% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 10-K | +0.001 | +3.2% | n/a |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 10-K | +0.052 | +18.9% | n/a |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 10-K | -0.012 | +15.2% | n/a |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 10-K | -0.023 | +7.6% | n/a |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 10-K | +0.013 | +71.5% | n/a |