SBA Communications showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 8 of 15 comparable quarters.
8 / 15 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.054 (p=0.850) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.029 (p=0.917) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.49, 0.53] |
| FDR q | 0.946 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 8 / 15 (8 / 15) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.097 | -12.0% | n/a |
| May 5, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.103 | -16.3% | n/a |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.256 | -8.4% | n/a |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.181 | +38.7% | n/a |
| May 1, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.103 | +42.8% | n/a |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.101 | +195.7% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.090 | -20.0% | n/a |
| May 6, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.119 | +52.7% | n/a |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.201 | -12.6% | n/a |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.228 | +193.0% | n/a |
| May 9, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.188 | -46.3% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.293 | +109.2% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.287 | -54.5% | n/a |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.182 | +1706.0% | n/a |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.212 | +111.8% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 10-K | +0.106 | +40.6% | n/a |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 10-K | +0.125 | +49.4% | n/a |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 10-K | +0.131 | +8.8% | n/a |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 10-K | +0.216 | +94.2% | n/a |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 10-K | +0.141 | +885.8% | n/a |