S&P Global's management tone tended to become more positive when quarterly net income improved.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 9 of 10 comparable quarters.
9 / 10 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.511 (p=0.074) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.442 (p=0.130) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.14, 0.80] |
| FDR q | 0.370 |
| Sample size (n) | 13 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 9 / 10 (9 / 10) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.203 | n/a | n/a |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.174 | +28.0% | n/a |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.153 | +21.1% | n/a |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.104 | +6.0% | n/a |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.085 | +10.0% | n/a |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.141 | +30.9% | n/a |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.123 | +97.8% | n/a |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.182 | +24.7% | n/a |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.117 | +22.0% | n/a |
| Jul 27, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.046 | -47.4% | n/a |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.061 | -35.6% | n/a |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.023 | -23.7% | n/a |
| Aug 3, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.031 | +21.8% | n/a |
| May 4, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.056 | +63.6% | n/a |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 10-Q | +0.297 | n/a | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | 10-K | +0.069 | n/a | n/a |
| Feb 11, 2025 | 10-K | +0.077 | n/a | n/a |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 10-K | +0.047 | -19.2% | n/a |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 10-K | +0.120 | +7.4% | n/a |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 10-K | +0.201 | +29.3% | n/a |