Synchrony Financial showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 1 of 3 comparable quarters.
1 / 3 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | -0.004 (p=0.990) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | -0.191 (p=0.494) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.64, 0.36] |
| FDR q | 0.701 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 1 / 3 (1 / 3) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 10-Q | +0.038 | -8.5% | n/a |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.009 | +6.3% | n/a |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.052 | +36.5% | n/a |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.063 | +50.4% | n/a |
| Apr 24, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.063 | -41.5% | n/a |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.034 | +25.6% | n/a |
| Jul 19, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.030 | +13.0% | n/a |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.049 | +115.1% | n/a |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.034 | -10.7% | n/a |
| Jul 21, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.026 | -29.2% | n/a |
| Apr 20, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.003 | -35.5% | n/a |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.022 | -38.4% | n/a |
| Jul 21, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.047 | -35.3% | n/a |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.019 | -9.1% | n/a |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.027 | +264.5% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | 10-K | +0.025 | +1.5% | n/a |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 10-K | +0.120 | +56.3% | n/a |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 10-K | +0.174 | -25.8% | n/a |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 10-K | +0.195 | -28.5% | n/a |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 10-K | +0.000 | +204.8% | n/a |