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Financials · CIK 0001403161

V Visa Inc.

Little or no relationship

Visa Inc. showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.

Relationship strength (, primary)
-0.01
Sample
14 quarterly observations
More established sample
Multiple-testing check

Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?

Pearson (secondary): 0.03 Why show both?

The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations

Tone vs earnings change

Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart

Direction agreement

Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 7 of 8 comparable quarters.

7 / 8 direction agreement

How is agreement calculated?
Statistical details (Pearson, p-values, q, confidence interval)
Spearman ρ (exact)-0.007 (p=0.982)
Pearson r0.030 (p=0.919)
95% CI (Pearson)[-0.51, 0.55]
FDR q0.946
Sample size (n)14 · More established sample
Agreement7 / 8 (7 / 8)
Revenue analysis (secondary metric)

Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.

Revenue comparison not used

Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.

Why?
Annual 10-K analysis (secondary analysis)

Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.

Relationship
Little or no relationship
Spearman
-0.10
Pearson
-0.45
Sample
5 annual observations

Filing history

Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.

Quarterly (10-Q)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Jul 29, 202610-Q+0.093n/an/a
Apr 29, 202610-Q+0.063+31.5%n/a
Jan 30, 202610-Q+0.054+14.3%n/a
Jul 30, 202510-Q+0.052+8.2%n/a
Apr 30, 202510-Q+0.069-1.8%n/a
Jan 31, 202510-Q+0.051+4.7%n/a
Jul 24, 202410-Q+0.060+17.2%n/a
Apr 24, 202410-Q+0.062+9.5%n/a
Jan 26, 202410-Q+0.025+17.0%n/a
Jul 26, 202310-Q+0.030+21.8%n/a
Apr 27, 202310-Q+0.013+16.7%n/a
Jan 27, 202310-Q+0.023+5.6%n/a
Jul 28, 202210-Q+0.041+32.5%n/a
Apr 28, 202210-Q-0.003+20.5%n/a
Jan 28, 202210-Q+0.107+26.6%n/a

Annual (10-K)

DateFormToneNet income YoYRevenue YoY
Nov 6, 202510-K+0.034+1.6%n/a
Nov 13, 202410-K+0.049+14.3%n/a
Nov 15, 202310-K-0.005+15.5%n/a
Nov 16, 202210-K+0.003+21.5%n/a
Nov 18, 202110-K-0.007+13.3%n/a