W. R. Berkley Corporation showed little relationship between MD&A tone and quarterly net income.
Does not remain notable after adjusting for hundreds of tests. Why?
The analysis measures a same-filing relationship, not a forecast. Limitations
Each dot represents one 10-Q filing. Points farther right have more positive MD&A tone. Points higher on the chart had stronger year-over-year net income growth, after extreme percent changes are capped. Upper-right and lower-left points indicate tone and earnings moving in the same direction. How to read this chart
Tone and earnings moved in the same direction in 0 of 1 comparable quarters.
0 / 1 direction agreement
How is agreement calculated?| Spearman ρ (exact) | 0.032 (p=0.909) |
|---|---|
| Pearson r | 0.031 (p=0.912) |
| 95% CI (Pearson) | [-0.49, 0.53] |
| FDR q | 0.944 |
| Sample size (n) | 15 · More established sample |
| Agreement | 0 / 1 (0 / 1) |
Secondary to net income because revenue concepts are less comparable across some industries.
Revenue comparison is not used for this industry because companies report revenue-like concepts differently.
Why?Annual samples are shorter and are not mixed into the default quarterly board.
Tone shown to three decimals so small nonzero values stay visible.
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.051 | +12.7% | n/a |
| May 1, 2026 | 10-Q | -0.008 | +23.4% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.005 | +39.8% | n/a |
| Aug 4, 2025 | 10-Q | +0.013 | +7.9% | n/a |
| May 2, 2025 | 10-Q | -0.025 | -5.6% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.031 | +9.6% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2024 | 10-Q | +0.031 | +4.4% | n/a |
| May 3, 2024 | 10-Q | -0.018 | +50.4% | n/a |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.011 | +45.7% | n/a |
| Aug 3, 2023 | 10-Q | +0.022 | +98.7% | n/a |
| May 4, 2023 | 10-Q | -0.032 | -50.2% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.000 | -12.4% | n/a |
| Aug 2, 2022 | 10-Q | +0.000 | -24.4% | n/a |
| May 3, 2022 | 10-Q | -0.021 | +157.3% | n/a |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 10-Q | -0.044 | +72.3% | n/a |
| Date | Form | Tone | Net income YoY | Revenue YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 10-K | -0.001 | +1.3% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 10-K | +0.021 | +27.1% | n/a |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 10-K | -0.031 | +0.0% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 10-K | -0.014 | +35.1% | n/a |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 10-K | -0.066 | n/a | n/a |